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State Serum Institute expects COVID-19 cases to rise 

Christian Wenande
November 17th, 2020


This article is more than 4 years old.

According to a new SSI prognosis, the coronavirus situation in Denmark is set to gather momentum over the next 14 days

Set to go up (photo: Pixabay)

Just a week ago, the State Serum Institute (SSI) announced that it expected the number of COVID-19 cases to dwindle in the near future.

But today, the health experts had a very different opinion.

Over the next fortnight or so, the number of new coronavirus cases in Denmark is expected to increase nationwide, according to a new SSI prediction.

READ ALSO: University of Copenhagen behind promising COVID-19 vaccine

Up to 1,350 … maybe
Using a mathematical model, the prognosis suggests the number of new cases will go up to about 1,350 on a daily basis by the beginning of December.

That figure depends on about 51,000 tests being taken every day.

Currently, the number of cases being registered daily is at about 1,100-1,200.

SSI underlined that its prognosis, which is updated every Tuesday, is subject to various uncertainties. 


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A survey carried out by Megafon for TV2 has found that 71 percent of parents have handed over children to daycare in spite of them being sick.

Moreover, 21 percent of those surveyed admitted to medicating their kids with paracetamol, such as Panodil, before sending them to school.

The FOLA parents’ organisation is shocked by the findings.

“I think it is absolutely crazy. It simply cannot be that a child goes to school sick and plays with lots of other children. Then we are faced with the fact that they will infect the whole institution,” said FOLA chair Signe Nielsen.

Pill pushers
At the Børnehuset daycare institution in Silkeborg a meeting was called where parents were implored not to bring their sick children to school.

At Børnehuset there are fears that parents prefer to pack their kids off with a pill without informing teachers.

“We occasionally have children who that they have had a pill for breakfast,” said headteacher Susanne Bødker. “You might think that it is a Panodil more than a vitamin pill, if it is a child who has just been sick, for example.”

Parents sick and tired
Parents, when confronted, often cite pressure at work as a reason for not being able to stay at home with their children.

Many declare that they simply cannot take another day off, as they are afraid of being fired.

Allan Randrup Thomsen, a professor of virology at KU, has heavily criticised the parents’ actions, describing the current situation as a “vicious circle”.

“It promotes the spread of viruses, and it adds momentum to a cycle where parents are pressured by high levels of sick-leave. If they then choose to send the children to daycare while they are still recovering, they keep the epidemic going in daycares, and this in turn puts a greater burden on the parents.”