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Denmark’s White Christmas chances are 50/50, says national forecaster

Ben Hamilton
December 6th, 2017


This article is more than 7 years old.

Due to strict criteria, there have only been nine since 1900

Will it all thaw away by Christmas? Either way, it’s curtains for the ducks (photo: Hunter Desportes)

We’re dreaming of a White Christmas – just like the ones we’ve only had nine times since December 1900. That’s a pretty poor return in a country that isn’t exactly famous for its tropical weather.

READ MORE: Snow predicted next week as ‘worst winter for five years’ threatens Denmark

Two of those have been in this century – the back-to-back snow fests in 2009 and 2010 when the white stuff laid on our streets and fields for two months and counting – and now DMI is talking up the chances of 2017.

According to the national weather forecaster, the chances of a White Christmas in Denmark are 50 percent. However, TV2’s experts – who are rarely right, it has to be said – rate the chances at just 12 percent, and Danske Spil bookmakers at 20 percent.

Snow on the way, but will it last?
“It is certainly possible that it will be a white Christmas,” DMI meteorologist Frank Nielsen told BT.

A cold snap due to start this coming Sunday, which is expected to bring sleet and snow to Denmark, will continue until December 17, but after that it is harder to predict, contends Nielsen.

“The future forecast is more uncertain than it would normally be at this time, as we have had some rather nice weather in Europe lately,” he added.

On average, every 13 years
It’s worth bearing in mind that Denmark has a pretty strict definition of ‘White Christmas’ compared to some countries where it only needs to snow a bit on the weather station’s roof for the bookmakers to pay out.

In Denmark, at least 90 percent of the country needs to be covered in snow at least five millimetres deep on December 24.

In the 20th century this only happened on 1995, 1981, 1969, 1956, 1938, 1923 and 1915 – so once every 13 years on average.

Snow to follow some strong winds
Meanwhile, DMI has issued a number of weather warnings regarding high winds that are expected to hit the west coast of Denmark on Thursday December 7 between 08:00 and 17:00, with speeds in places reaching 25 metres per second.

The wind will then resume, at a slightly weaker speed, at 19:00 on the evening of December 7 and continue until 18:00 on Friday December 8, and then from 00:00 to 17:00 on Saturday December 9.


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A survey carried out by Megafon for TV2 has found that 71 percent of parents have handed over children to daycare in spite of them being sick.

Moreover, 21 percent of those surveyed admitted to medicating their kids with paracetamol, such as Panodil, before sending them to school.

The FOLA parents’ organisation is shocked by the findings.

“I think it is absolutely crazy. It simply cannot be that a child goes to school sick and plays with lots of other children. Then we are faced with the fact that they will infect the whole institution,” said FOLA chair Signe Nielsen.

Pill pushers
At the Børnehuset daycare institution in Silkeborg a meeting was called where parents were implored not to bring their sick children to school.

At Børnehuset there are fears that parents prefer to pack their kids off with a pill without informing teachers.

“We occasionally have children who that they have had a pill for breakfast,” said headteacher Susanne Bødker. “You might think that it is a Panodil more than a vitamin pill, if it is a child who has just been sick, for example.”

Parents sick and tired
Parents, when confronted, often cite pressure at work as a reason for not being able to stay at home with their children.

Many declare that they simply cannot take another day off, as they are afraid of being fired.

Allan Randrup Thomsen, a professor of virology at KU, has heavily criticised the parents’ actions, describing the current situation as a “vicious circle”.

“It promotes the spread of viruses, and it adds momentum to a cycle where parents are pressured by high levels of sick-leave. If they then choose to send the children to daycare while they are still recovering, they keep the epidemic going in daycares, and this in turn puts a greater burden on the parents.”